Lower NHS funding growth forecast after 2011

The NHS budget will start to shrink in 2011, warns The King's Fund's chief economist in the BMJ this week.

John Appleby predicts a sharp fall in funding when the government’s spending guarantee ends in 2011, due to the current economic crisis.

‘NHS spending is guaranteed up to April 2011 – what happens after then looks decidedly less rosy. The health service will almost certainly have to plan for lower growth in funding from 2011 onwards,’ Appleby writes.

Lower NHS spending and the health impact of deprivation, caused by the looming recession will put massive pressure on the health service in the future, he explains.

tom.ireland@haymarket.com

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