Biomarker predicts heart failure risk

A new test for a blood biomarker can more accurately predict risk of heart failure (HF) in elderly people than existing models, research has shown.

Heart failure: risk factor prediction models have limited accuracy (Photograph: SPL)

Researchers from the University of Maryland School of Medicine found raised levels of the protein cardiac troponin T (cTnT) were linked to increased risk of HF and death.

Measurements of cTnT alongside the NICE-recommended test for serum BNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, or NT-proBNP) may improve HF risk assessment in elderly patients, the researchers claimed.

Traditional risk-factor prediction models for HF and cardiovascular death have limited accuracy in older adults, the authors said.

The recent development of a highly sensitive test for cardiac proteins has presented a new and potentially more accurate measure of risk, they said.

A team led by Dr Christopher deFilippi assessed the predictive powers of the test in 4,221 adults aged 65 years or older without prior HF.

The group's cTnT levels were analysed at baseline. This was repeated in two-thirds of participants after two to three years.

Researchers then followed up this group after almost 12 years. There were 1,279 cases of HF and 1,103 cardiovascular deaths in this time.

The risk of either event was associated with higher cTnT concentrations. Risk was relative to cTnT levels at baseline, irrespective of the absolute initial value and other clinical risk factors.

The study authors said the new test increased the proportion of older adults with detectable cTnT levels 10-fold.

Unlike existing methods, the new test enables a gradient of risk to be estimated, and the significance of changing cTnT levels to be examined, they added.

The authors concluded that findings from this study and previous work into BNP testing 'suggest that serial measurements of both NT-proBNP and cTnT may improve risk assessment in elderly individuals'.

Have you registered with us yet?

Register now to enjoy more articles and free email bulletins

Register

Already registered?

Sign in


Just published

BMA Scotland GP committee chair Dr Andrew Buist

General practice in Scotland 'in serious trouble', warns BMA Scotland GP chair

General practice in Scotland has reached a tipping point, with demand far outstripping...

Hospital entrance

NHS England issues warning over norovirus and rising winter pressures

Almost three times as many people were in hospital with norovirus last week compared...

BMA Northern Ireland GP committee chair Dr Alan Stout

Northern Ireland GPs face deepest-ever crisis as practices hand back contracts

Northern Ireland's GP leader has warned that general practice in the region is facing...

GP consulting room

GP appointments hit record high of over 34m in October

GP practices delivered a record 34.3m appointments in October this year excluding...

GP consultation

New contract that enforces continuity would make GPs and patients safer, says watchdog

A new GP contract that makes continuity of care an 'essential requirement' for practices...

GP receptionist on the phone

Some practices to receive funding to upgrade digital phone systems

GP practices whose digital phone systems do not meet new NHS England standards will...