DoH reduces swine flu death forecast by 70%

NHS organisations should plan for 70% fewer swine flu deaths than previously anticipated, England chief medical officer Sir Liam Donaldson has said.

Sir Liam Donaldson
Sir Liam Donaldson

National planning assumptions have been updated in response to improved understanding of the pandemic. These assumptions represent the scenario against which the health service needs to be prepared, Sir Liam said.

Plans will now work on the assumption that there could be 19,000 deaths. In July, a figure of 65,000 was suggested by government officials.

The figures are based on up to 30 per cent of people catching swine flu and 0.1 per cent of those with the disease dying as a result of infection.

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