National planning assumptions have been updated in response to improved understanding of the pandemic. These assumptions represent the scenario against which the health service needs to be prepared, Sir Liam said.
Plans will now work on the assumption that there could be 19,000 deaths. In July, a figure of 65,000 was suggested by government officials.
The figures are based on up to 30 per cent of people catching swine flu and 0.1 per cent of those with the disease dying as a result of infection.
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